Sunday, March 23, 2014

some lessons are earned the hard way , this surely must be one

What lessons have flight MH-370 has taught us?




       The first lesson is that you can trust no one or anything as doubt lingers everywhere and I have no intention pointing blame but instead make remarks and observations of the technical aspect of the recovery investigation of flight MH-370.i will also lend an alternative theory, and will warn you it is only a guess at best but is as plausible as others.  
     My thoughts are with the families of the passengers of the ill-fated flight. I would assume as the rest of the world, that if they are looking in the middle of the Indian Ocean, that the plane and all aboard will be lost after this time. I imagine the black boxes will be recovered as the world wants to know what happened and the black boxes will tell the story. I imagine all countries will need to know as it affects us all, and if the question of whether it was terrorism or just what it was that brought the plane down.i like everyone have become glued to the internet hoping for some report or explanation.
     From the very first reports I was amazed at how much information was being assembled from so many different sources, with information and new developments occurring daily along with slips of inside information regarding the investigation and how it has precipitated into the recovery effort we see now. Information of where the plane originated from and the technical part regarding the last known inspection as well as the safety record of the plane being a Boeing 777 and being produced in the USA and having an almost spotless safety record but that here in the U.S., the plane was under a recommended inspection of long usage passenger liners for micro cracking of fuselage. Supposedly from air pressurization and depressurization, occurring with changes in elevation.
       Statistics regarding an apparent failure of one Boeing777 plane that was grounded when they found a 16 inch gaping hole in the fuselage after an inspection located close to the external satellite and radio antennae affixed to the exterior ceiling of the airliner.  Consequences of rapid depressurization and theories of possibly falling from the sky in a spectacular blowup of the plane began to emerge as expert after expert climbed on the bandwagon while the public and the waiting loved ones had to endure one theory after another  with nothing positive.  As of 9 o’clock this evening. Nothing new except another piece of wreckage they assume was discovered by a Chinese satellite in an area that may be down current from where the Australian satellite observed pieces in the lower arc that is purported to be the most likely area to search.also they appear to be moving more ships into the area where the search is concentrated now showing that there must be something to the reports of plane pieces in the water or a strong suggestion that this must be the plane. 
       I was amazed as one international search partner after another offered up new information as to satellite coverage and personnel in the area that needed searched. Also I was amazed at the lack of cooperation between the Malaysian government and Vietnam as to the radar coverage. They seem to let politics decide the immediate outcome of information that was used to initiate a search in the wrong area. The coverage of satellites and military personnel that was dispatched as well the U.S. presence and the technology and support we offered the Malaysian government from the onset was to be admired as if in some way we needed the answer as to why and we do need the answer as to why the plane went down .
      At one point I even joined the search as there was this website you could go to that was posting satellite photos of the wrong search area you could view.  If you found something you would notify the company and get some credit for helping. After looking through several frames and not finding nothing but water I gave up my search as apparently others did as we were just looking in the wrong place.
     Of course now there was frustration, as now we heard about the Vietnamese radar tracking the airliner back over Malaysia and the accounts of the transponder being manually turned off and a a final salute from the pilot just before veering off course in what they are calling planned maneuvers. And again we enter a kind of forensic evaluation of the character of the pilot and crew as well as the forged passports of two of those aboard emerged and terrorism was suspected. I could just imagine the computers searching each and every passenger as well as crew member for any alliances with any terrorist organization trying to find the tie that binds someone to something that happened to the airliner. Theories were bounding as the media began to pick over each bit and piece of information pointing fingers here and there. In the end have no better idea of what happened to the airliner than we did almost two weeks ago.
       Now we are we are running out of leads as this had happened before as we lost 93 rangers on a plane out of Vietnam in 1962, and have never found a trace of the plane. It was figured at the time that the plane went down in the ocean and no trace of it has ever been found to this day. So even with the black boxes and the last known coordinates again we may never find this plane as it could have easily been torn apart and carried hundreds or thousands of miles in the current that exists in this remote part of the world.  It may take time and lots of it before we ever figure out what happened, if ever
      I would like to believe it was a terrorist hijacking and that the plane eluded radar of several countries and is setting on the ground at a hangar somewhere and that someday the plane will be used in hopefully a foiled bombing  similar to 9-11. After which the passengers will suddenly appear from nowhere in a foreign land.
      I watch and read of the pilot and his fascination with flying and his going so far as to have a simulator in his house where he practiced maneuvers and eventually deleted a block of information from his computer and how the FBI  is trying to restore it. They say the pilot or whoever was maneuvering the plane was experienced enough to know certain things only an experienced pilot would have to know regarding flying the Boeing 777 in the fashion it was observed at its last sighting on radar by the Vietnamese army . My question is as it passed over the Malaysian mainland is it possible the plane was low enough for a successful parachute out of the plane by whoever was piloting letting autopilot take the plane and all its mystery to the depths of the Indian Ocean in a J.B. Cooper fashion. I don’t even know if it is possible to parachute out of a jetliner as they design them today.
      So in the event we never find the plane and how do we avoid this happening again. Maybe visual confirmation of the pilot and copilot at different undetermined intervals allowing us a sneak peek into the cockpit might be one way. Surely the technology is there if we have wireless communication on a plane we could just as easily have the pilot take a short real time video of his counterpart with his smart phone and upload it to the planes communication system as well as location data . I am sure the pilot’s union will have a field day and claim invasion of privacy but it is in the best interest of everyone aboard to assure that the pilot is in command at any given time. Having an idea of last known coordinates is another thing. Redundancy tracking of engines proved to be a major turning point in the search criteria as it narrowed the search area to certain coordinates. This and other systems need to be developed especially in a scenario such as on 9-11 where airliners were hijacked and although tracking was still working, we had a situation as in this case where someone turned off the transponder. Should a second transponder be located elsewhere in an inaccessible location that would pick up and start transmitting upon not receiving a signal from the primary transponder?
     If we never find the black boxes and if we don’t ever find a trace of the plane, we may forever wonder what caused it to disappear off the face of the earth. It is time that airline safety take another step and up its security , to further scrutinize those in charge and subject them to psychological evaluation on a regular basis , to assure they are beyond reproach and above professional suspicion when it comes to piloting a plane and being in charge of hundreds of passengers lives .  We should never rule out mechanical error even without proof that may have been a contributing factor to losing the plane and all its passengers. An aging airliner exploding at 30000 feet is always a possibility even partial decompression due to a large rupture of the fuselage would create the same conditions to a degree as those observed by the Vietnamese army. Partial loss of hydraulics and inability to turn the plane may have left no other option but to ditch it in the sea. Unfortunately due to the location it ended up over the Indian Ocean. Having lived through the decompression they would only see their fate sealed as there was no safe alternative but a sea landing.

      As compared to the earlier crash of the U.S. Army flight 739 in which 93 Army Rangers and 3 South Vietnamese personnel disappeared and no trace of wreckage was ever found. Look at the differences in technology as in 1962 when the Lockheed Continental disappeared, there was no transponder and no idea where to search for the plane, yet here we are in 2014 and now we have an airliner in the same circumstance and although we have a lot of informationand technology available to us,we still have very few concrete answers and only more reasons to make planes safer. Still as all know what goes up must come down , it’s not so much going up, but the coming down that usually has us asking questions, when it comes to planes.

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